2003, 2004 Hurricane Seasons and Predictions for 2005

Well we have just seen first hand the dramatic and catastrophic Tornados, which devoured many mid western towns. More weather related mid western storm to continue all the way through Ohio, West Virginia, and even Georgia. Why are we getting these storms with such intensity? We are way over budget on the average tornados already this year.

The wizard is no friend this year in Kansas. And in Oklahoma they want nothing to do with Democrats hiding out in their hotels or visits from Dorothy and Toto. And just when you thought you were safe to tread water off the coast of Florida on your way by row boat from a dictator tyrant who will kill you if you return, guess what? Hurricane season, well she is here. It is going to be an above average year and that means disruptions in oil and natural gas supply, transportation and anything made along the Gulf Coasts, Gulf itself or along the entire Eastern Sea Board up to and maybe including parts of NJ, NY, with large tropical depression patterns continuing into places normally safe such as Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and Maine. Should we listen to the forecasters?

Well Hurricane season is already getting ready to get to the "C's" names as the first Hurricane appeared before the regular season. As a minor indication of reality to come. This year's Atlantic hurricane season should be busier than normal. They are already predicting at the NOAA six to nine hurricanes and two to four of those classified as major storms, which will make land this year. Hurricane winds of 75 plus mph making shoreline, but where. Well whereever they do look out. The season supposedly runs from June 1 to Nov. 30 and on average has 11 to 15 tropical storms with six to nine reaching hurricane strength and two to four reaching major hurricanes strength, with top winds of 111 mph (178 kph) or more.

Mean Season: Florida's 2004 Hurricanes

Maybe two reaching the shore. It was though it could have been a big year in 2004. Even Michael Brown of Homeland Security was thinking out a game plan to include major responses early on from FEMA. And they were right 2004 proved to be the worst year for Hurricanes in 50 years. In a slow year, there are 10 tropical storms, of which six grow to hurricane strength and two achieve major storm status, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Look at the headlines or search Hurricane Weather. Even the Weather Channel intends on raising advertising costs due to the hopefulness of increased viewership by loved ones in other parts of the country staying up on the news of the less fortunate who maybe in harms way.

In hindsight, weather predictors were just a little off for 2003, the Hurricane Season was worse than expected in 2003. In 2002 weather scientists were pretty darn close on their predictions although some thought originally they were too doom and gloom. It appears we are generally in an upward trend of extreme weather as predictions in 2004 come out also above the predicted number of Hurricanes, particularly in the size and force of the Hurricanes. 2005 proves to be interesting in that already scientists are predicting 13 Hurricanes and that is quite significant indeed.

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About the Author

Lance Winslow is a retired entrepreneur; www.CarWashGuys.com and works with the World Think Tank; www.WorldThinkTank.net/wttbbs